Retirement sweet spot – a place to live is a good start!

From Pixabay

Slack Investor has thought a lot about retirement – a lot!

Even though I liked most aspects of my jobs, the thought of doing what I want each day was most appealing. I read quite a few blogs on financial independence and they seem to fall into two main types. The “retire at 30” types and the “building of financial skills to gradually gain financial independence” types. Slack Investor is definitely in the latter camp and, without outside help, or big slabs of luck, I can’t really see a way of avoiding the 25-35 years of work to build up your funds before you then launch your retirement.

This post sets out with two of the building blocks to retirement – a home and some superannuation. You might be just starting your working life, or be in your forties and thinking … “Well, how do I get to my retirement from here?”

The recent Australian government Retirement Income Review emphasised that if your are renting in retirement then things are tough.

In retirement, renters have higher levels of financial stress. A significant proportion of retiree households that rent are in income poverty …”

The Australian Treasury Retirement income Review (2019)

Get a Roof

So take the advice of Flo Rida and Slack Investor and make it a big priority in your life to own a place to live. I know this seems like an impossibility to many as the cost of houses in Australia is eye -watering in the big cities. However, the place you want to own might be an apartment or, it doesn’t have to be in a capital city – it can be in one of the many fantastic regional towns!

From Australia’s most liveable regional cities. Not sure why “Distance to Alcohol” is a criteria – or what it means … might be good … might be bad!- but this is a nice selection of great Australian towns.

When you have found a place that you could retire to, the next step is to get yourself into the property market by saving for a deposit and buying a place. There will now be 30 years of pain … and then you own it! But, at least you have borrowed money for a “hopefully” appreciating asset. Make sure that any property you buy makes good sense – Schools, Transport, Parks, Shops, etc.

Another way to do this is “rentvesting”. This an option where you rent your place to live near your work while your are buying a place that you might want to retire to one day. Rentvesting makes sense when the costs to rent a place is cheaper than the buying costs (Loan Interest/Rates/Stamp Duty, etc). While you are renting in a share house or apartment the extra rental income from the property you own, and tax incentives, will allow you to use any surplus funds to invest in a share portfolio. Rentvesting can also increase your borrowing power and hopefully get a better property – Just don’t over extend yourself.

Get some Super

According to Investblue, in 2018, as boomers are retiring, the average retirement super balance in Australia for men is $270,710, and for women $157,049. This is not really enough, but an “average couple” would have over $400000. Things should get better as compulsory super has only been with us since 1991 . Boomers have had many advantages during a period of rapidly increasing asset prices – but compulsory superannuation over their whole working life was not one of them.

If you are relatively healthy and own your home outright, the Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia (ASFA) have estimated the annual retirement income required for a modest and comfortable lifestyle.

The Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia (ASFA) retirement standards for 2018

Using the average figures, there is a big gap between existing super saved and a comfortable lifestyle

80% of retirees fund their retirement years with a combination of superannuation and the age pension

Money Magazine June 2018

It is worth some study into how the pension and superannuation systems interact. The bare minimum to aim for is the “sweet spot” where under current rules, home owning couples can have $400000 in superannuation (singles $300000) and still qualify for the full government pension. Using this mix of super and the pension, when reaching the pension qualifying age of 67, a modest to comfortable retirement is possible under current rules.

SituationSuperannuationDrawdown from Super @ 5%Age PensionTotal Income
Single Home-owner$300,000$15,000$19,210$34,212
Couple Home-owner$400,000$20,000$33,272$53,272
Table from Realize Your Dream and based upon 2018 values

This “sweet spot” is our first “port of call” in super terms, and meant to demonstrate that if you own your own home and have a good chunk of super … then you are going to be OK in retirement.

Slack Investor hopes that you have got onto the idea of financial independence a bit earlier than aged 40. By starting to plan in your twenties or early thirties, you can aim to fund your own retirement … and, perhaps not wait until you are 67.

Hits and Misses … and November 2020 – End of Month Update

Back in happier times, September 2019, the Mayfair 101 business founder, James Mawhinney. His skills are described by Mayfair as “generating substantial value for shareholders”. Sadly for investors, the signature Mayfair 101 investment in Dunk Island has now fallen through due to Mayfair being “unable to meet their obligations”– Original image from the Courier Mail

Mayfair 101 bites the dust

It may take some years, but this Mayfair 101 thing … it’s not going to end well for the punters!

Slack Investor – November 2019

It has now been 12 months since Slack Investor warned about investing in the highly promoted glitzy “alternative to term deposits” Mayfair 101. I urged any investors to get their money out while they could. Things have now gone pear-shaped for participants in Mr Mawhinney’s vehicles – as well as the Dunk Island resort repossession, one of Mayfair 101’s three main investment products, IPO wealth, has had its investor’s money frozen.

I take no solace in being right as many small and large investors have since been hurt by the appointment of receivers to Mayfair 101’s $86 million IPO Wealth fund. ASIC alleges that the money raised by the Mayfair group was not fully secured, and investors may be unable to recover the full amount of their principal investment.

According to The Guardian, Mayfair 101 had received more than $67.5m from investors but, by 1 July, had just $2,765 in the bank and that investor’s money was “used to fund a loan that was not adequately secured”. They were unable to come up with the $32m that would have completed the purchase of Dunk Island. ASIC feared the fundraising was “akin to arrangements colloquially referred to as a ‘Ponzi scheme’.”

A year ago there were full page ads in the AFR, full of glowing self praise as the “new face of investment” In investing, it pays to be wary of big announcements, “management speak” and things that sound too good to be true … trust the nostrils!

“[Mayfair Platinum CEO, James Mawhinney, is] an experienced business builder who is focused on creating win-win outcomes for investors, clients, suppliers and staff

A quote from Mayfair (sourced from crikey.com )from the golden days of Mayfair 101 … but perhaps win-lose might be more appropriate. I am hoping that investors can get a decent portion of their capital returned.

Bitcoin again

Bitcoin chart (USD) since 2014 – From Coindesk

This would be objectively classified as a miss by Slack Investor – the bitcoin price is now higher than when I initially talked about bitcoin as a “bubble” at around $7000 USD. Despite the rocketing bitcoin price, the Slack Investor view has not changed and it is not the type of investment that appeals to me. Bitcoin is a speculative investment that depends entirely on what the next buyer is willing to pay for it.

Bitcoin is the dominant cryptocurrency (Etherium, Ripple, Litecoin, etc) that uses the potentially useful blockchain technology to monitor transactions. The Guardian points out that bitcoin is not a true currency as it not widely accepted as legal tender, the transaction costs are not small (it costs between 3 and 6 USD per transaction) and, it does not have a relatively stable value that would help vendors in setting prices. Central banks and Facebook have outlined plans for their own digital currencies that would be in competition with existing cryptocurrencies.

There is also a high energy cost in the “mining” of bitcoin. The current “Proof of Work” algorithm requires 215 kw/h of electricity to produce each bitcoin – the equivalent of an average US home energy consumption for a week.

Slack Investor holds no regrets about not buying in. He will stick with investing in growing real companies that produce tangible things that people want. An investment should be something that has a real monetary or social value, regardless of whether someone wants to buy it from you.

My assessment in 2017 that bitcoin is a casino investment still holds. Well done to anyone that has made money with bitcoin. In the same way that I will always congratulate someone who has made money on a bizarre sports bet – or who has won money on 5 reds in a row in roulette table – but, it is not investing, it is not for me.

November 2020 – End of Month Update

Slack Investor remains IN for Australian index shares, the US Index S&P 500 and the FTSE 100.

During a time when world COVID-19 related deaths are 8866 per day and there are 54.9m cases confirmed globally – the stock markets have gone a little crazy . It is a good demonstration of how difficult it is to predict short-term stock market movement. Slack Investor followed markets all grew by more than 10% this month. For November 2020, the Australian ASX 200 rose 10.0%, the S&P 500 up 10.8%, and the FTSE 100 up 12.4%.

All it took was a US election and some good vaccine news.

“Most Americans who want to be vaccinated will be able to do so by April or May next year”

Dr. Anthony Fauci  – from CNN

On the FTSE 100 Index a new “Higher Low” was established and this gave me the opportunity to move up my monthly stop loss to 5525 – see Monthly UK Index chart.

The US economy entered a recession in February 2020 and still in uncertain times, Slack Investor has his stop losses live for all Index funds.

All Index pages and charts  have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX IndexUK IndexUS Index).