Global Wealth Report 2022

Credit Suisse

In a week where I have received a polite letter from my electricity provider that the daily rate and cost per Kilowatt-hour will be increasing by 27% from August 1, 2023 – it is always good to take a step back and realise that a bloke should count his blessings.

Every year the economic wonks at Credit Suisse produce the Global Wealth Report. It takes a bit of time to gather the figures worldwide, and the latest report available is from 2022, and gives an insight into the Covid-19 times using economic data from 2021. There is some good news, in that the global wealth per adult seems to be on an increasing trend.

The global median wealth per adult was just USD 1,613 ($2358 AUD) in the year 2000. By 2021, it had risen to USD 8,296 ($12 130 AUD), a five-fold increase equivalent to average annual growth of 8.1%.

Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2022

There seems to be an expansion of the “middle class” in the developing world, but, sadly, the key indicator of wealth inequality is on the rise. In the prophetic words of Midnight Oil “Read About it (1982)”.

The rich get richer, the poor get the picture

The bombs never hit you when you’re down so low

Some got pollution, some revolution

There must be some solution but I just don’t know

Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2022

2021 was a bumper year for New Zealand, the US and Australia, probably due to the rapidly increasing house prices during COVID-19, and the relative strength of local currencies against the US dollar in 2021. The wealth losses recorded by a few countries were relatively low and reflect currency depreciation against the USD.

World Distribution of Wealth

Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2022

In 2021, Australia tops the table with a USD median wealth (median Net Worth) of $273 900 ($400 497 AUD) – again probably due to the ridiculously high real estate prices in this country. A reminder of the unequal distribution of worldwide wealth is that the global median wealth per adult was just $8296 USD ($12 130 AUD) in 2021.

The median wealth is used below as it reflects how the normal person is doing. The mean or “average” can be misleading in countries with a large wealth inequality. For example, in the US, due to some very rich individuals, the mean wealth per adult in 2021 was $579 050 USD. but the median wealth was $93 270 USD.

Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2022

The 1%

Our calculations suggest, for example, that a person needed net assets of just USD 8,360 ($12 224 AUD) to be among the wealthiest half of world citizens at end-2021. However, USD 138,346 ($202 289 AUD) was required to be a member of the top 10% of global wealth holders, and USD 1,146,685 ($1 676 685 AUD) to belong to the top 1%.

Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook 2022

A net worth of $8360 USD ($12 224 AUD) would put you in the top half of the world wealthy, and a nudge over a million USD ($1 676 685 AUD) would put you in the top 1%.

Perhaps I will just have to take this latest utilities price rise on the chin … and reflect on my good fortune by the geographical accident of birth in a western country.

Advice for a young man … and June 2023 – End of Month Update

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I was recently delighted when my 14-yr old nephew asked me what I thought he should invest in with his earnings from his part-time jobs.

Firstly, it is a compliment to an old bloke to be asked anything, and secondly, it is testament to the financial maturity of this fine young man that he would be thinking about the world of the share market while still at school.

If he was older and in a steady full-time job I would advise he automate his savings as much as possible and lash into index funds via a platform such as StockspotPearler, Vanguard Personal, or Raiz)

His first investment would be in the order of a few thousand hard-earned dollars from part-time jobs. It is vital that the investment has good prospects and unlikely to lose money over a 5-yr period (no guarantees though!). Given that he would not feel the need to access the money for 5 years (hopefully longer!)

For a first investment, I would add the criteria that it should be a well-known Australian company that might appear in the news occasionally and remind him that he is a part-owner … and an investor!

If he was already 18, it would be “off to the races” and we would immediately set up a broker account in his own name and he would begin to experience the magic of being a shareholder. Being under 18 complicates things a little as minors are not allowed to directly own shares- we need to enlist his parent’s help.

If the parent already has a broker account the best way to start is for the parent to buy the shares on his behalf. When he turns 18, my nephew can start his own account with a broker (e.g. Self Wealth, Commsec, Pearler) and the parent can use an off-market transfer (get the form from the broker) to get the shares into my nephew’s hands as a “gift” including any dividends earned. During this brief holding period, any dividends and any capital gain will count as taxable income in the parents name – but this is a small price to pay to tap my nephew’s enthusiasm.

Alternatively, you could open a broker account in their name (as the trustee for “Nephews name”). The process is a little more complicated and is explained in detail by SelfWealth.

The Nuts and Bolts of Stock Selection

Naturally, I would address this problem in a methodical way and set up a list of Slack owned companies – I couldn’t recommend a company that I didn’t own myself. Some of my favourite stock metrics are gathered from the excellent Market Screener site on the financials page for each stock.

My number one metric for looking at companies is their Return on Equity (ROE), estimated for the year 2024 – Slack Investor is looking forward. This gives me an idea about whether a company is making an investment dollar grow. Higher the better, I start getting curious about a company when ROE is above 15%.

The projected Price Earnings ratio in 2024 is next – I don’t like the P/E Ratio to get above 40, as this indicates the current price of the company is 40 times its earnings (expensive) – but some exceptions are made if the company is growing fast (High ROE). The yield (dividend) is not that important to a young investor, it is the total growth that counts.

StockSymbol2024 ROE2024 P/E2024 YieldPrice 30/06/23% Price below consensus
CSL LtdCSL18%301.5%$277.38-18%
WesfarmersWES30%223.9%$49.34Fair Value
ColesCOL31%223.9%$18.42Fair Value
AltiumALU32%411.9%$36.92-6%
Macquarie BankMQG13%144.2%$177.62-10%
Car SalesCAR10%282.8%$23.82-3%
RealEstate.comREA29%411.3%$143.03-7%
Analysis of some Slack Investor owned stocks using the projected Return on Equity (2024 ROE); price earnings ratio in 2024 (2024 P/E); 2024 Yield; and the current price (30 June 2023); and current discount from the average analyst perceived value – marketscreener.com – Financials Tab

Looking at the figures, even though the stock price of CSL hasn’t really gone anywhere in the last 3 years, it would be my first pick as it is currently 18% below its fair value price (by a consensus of analysts). It is such a strong Australian company that really thinks of the future by continuing to increase its spend on research and development each year.

Wesfarmers (Bunnings, K-Mart, Officeworks, etc) and Coles look OK too because of their high Return on Equity (ROE) – they also have the benefit that you can continually pop in to see how your business is going. Altium has languished in price this last few years but remains a great company for the future – if my nephew was interested in the “tech” space.

This isn’t advice, Unless, of course, you are my nephew!

June 2023 – End of Month Update

The financial year closes and looking at the 12-month charts for FY 2023 – Slack Investor concludes … “It was better than last year”!

Slack Investor remains IN far all followed markets. The ASX 200 (+1.6%) and FTSE 100 (+1.1%) drifted slightly upward for the month. It is boom-time in the US with the S&P 500 rising 6.5%. The US index had moved more than 15% above its stop loss, so I have moved the stop loss upward to 4048.

All Index pages and charts  have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX IndexUK IndexUS Index). The quarterly updates to the Slack Portfolio have also been completed.