It was the best of times … it was the worst of times – January 2026 End of Month Update

Author of ‘A Tale of Two Cities’, Charles Dickens in his study at Gadshill

Slack Investor is a bit of a do-it-yourself bloke and has had reasonable success with his investing over the long-term. However, there is a place for outsourcing this noble task and it has always been Slack Investor’s intention to gradually take a back seat as he loses his faculties and hands over the whole kaboose to Ms Slack Investor. I always thought I would follow the great Mr Buffet’s thoughts on how to produce superior returns to most fund managers.

‘My advice to the trustee could not be more simple: Put 10% of the cash in short-term government bonds and 90% in a very low-cost S&P 500 index fund.’ Warren Buffet, 2013 Berkshire Newsletter

Warren Buffet’s reasoning is based upon the relatively high fees that stock-picker (active) funds charge. It is his contention that these fees will erode any achieved outperformance for most of them. Is there still room for stock-pickers? With apologies to Charles Dickens, Slack Investor will examine this with a Tale of Two Funds from his own investing history.

The Tale of Two Funds

The Montgomery Fund

Slack Investor has always been impressed with Roger Montgomery. He often appears on the media and his own website with reasoned and intelligent comment. It was after one of these exposures that Slack Investor thought it would be a grand idea to allocate some of the Slack Funds to Montgomery’s signature vehicle. Slack Investor bought units in The Montgomery Fund. between 2012 and 2017. While there was some initial success, the continual long-term underperformance when compared to the ASX 300 Benchmark was enough for Slack investor to have misgivings – and pull the sell cord in 2020 for an eventual loss. It was a case of the ‘sizzle’ being more impressive than the steak.

The management fees for the Montgomery Fund start at 1.36%p.a. and there is also an outperformance fee of 15.3%. The table below shows that in all time frames, but most significantly, when using the long-term figures (> 5-yr), the Montgomery Fund has underperformed. The fund has been weighed down by its relatively high fees and poor performance. The fund is aware of its chronic underperformance and they attribute most of the blame to an old fund manager prior to 2022. However, the inability to keep pace with the benchmark even in the last 3 years, suggests to Slack Investor that the malaise still lingers.

Table of the Montgomery Fund performance vs S&P/ASX 300 benchmark till 31/12/2025 since since inception 17/08/2012 – The Montgomery Fund

PM Capital Global Opportunities Fund

PM Capital Banner

Slack Investor’s ears pricked up during a Livewire Interview with Paul Moore, the founder of PM Capital. Mr Moore’s humility, common sense and experience came through when discussing his fund offerings. PM Capital run a number of different funds but the one that intrigued Slack Investor the most was the Global Opportunities Fund where:

The aim is to create long term wealth through a concentrated portfolio of 25-45 global companies that we believe are trading at prices different to their intrinsic values.

The PM Capital Global Opportunities Fund is available as a Managed Fund and also a Listed Investment Company (LIC). Slack Investor chose the LIC (PGF.ASX) as it is readily traded through his broker. PGF has fees of 1.0% p..a. and there are also an outperformance fee of 15%. However, looking at the intrinsic value of global companies is a skill that Slack Investor hasn’t got. For example, the largest position in PGF is European banks. PM Capital compare the Dutch origin ING (Book Value x 0.8, Forward PE 5) with Australia’s CBA (Book Value x 2.0, Forward PE 19). Slack Investor is happy to pay a fee to portfolio managers that are willing to seek out good value global companies. The long-term outperformance in the table below confirm that they are excellent at it!

Performance Table for the PM Capital Global Opportunities Fund, the Monthly update figures valid at 31/12/2025 were used together with the MSCI World Index returns in Australian Dollars (AUD). The PGF ETF was launched in December 2006 but the Fund’s inception date was October 1998.

This is not advice, and Slack Investor acknowledges that past performance does not guarantee future performance. However, the table above suggests that Mr Moore and his team know what they are doing. Consistently outperforming the MSCI World Index (in $AUD) is a considerable accomplishment. Slack Investor has bought some PGF with thoughts of adding further to his position in the future.

January 2026 – End of Month Update

End of month updates - Blue rising chart

Slack Investor remains IN for Australian index shares, the US Index S&P 500 and the FTSE 100.

In another crazy month of world turmoil (Thanks Mr President!) all followed markets rose strongly. The S&P 500 (+1.4%), the FTSE 100 (+2.9%) and the ASX 200 rose +1.8%. Slack Investor remains uneasy about how this great experiment will work out.

All Index pages and charts have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX IndexUK IndexUS Index).

Growth Professionals … and June 2025 – End of Month Update

Slack Investor has a healthy regard for those who make a living based upon their performance. It is a general financial wisdom that, if you are following large companies, you will very probably be better off in the long term with passive index funds.

Percentage of active funds that underperform (orange) over a 15-yr period – Spiva

However, some active boutique stock pickers may have an advantage when it comes to smaller international companies. In this category, 33.65% of active funds are able to outperform over a 15-yr period.

Slack Investor is currently backing his own abilities on the stock picking front. But, there will come a time when I lack the ability or inclination to do the (admittedly limited) research work. Also, there are some Slack Investor readers who would like to outsource this task.

Hyperion Global Growth Companies Fund ETF (ASX: HYGG)

I don’t follow individual companies in overseas markets that closely – but there are those that do – and do it very well.

Hyperion are Brisbane-based and started this managed fund back in 2014. They have also offered access as a listed ETF on the ASX since 2021. The ETF would be the way that I would buy it.

HYGG is not a low-cost fund as it has a Management Expense Ratio of 0.70% and an outperformance fee of 20% against benchmarks. The ETF, to date, has not paid a dividend. However, in this case, it seems that the managers are offering good value net of fees.

Growth of the Hyperion Global Growth Companies Fund after fees and costs have been extracted since 2014 – Hyperion

One-year performance (2024 May +47.3%) is impressive. However, Slack Investor is after the real grafters who can produce impressive results over the long-term. Hyperion is establishing a case for consideration.

5 and 10 year Performance of HYGG – net of fees – Hyperion

The advantage of an active fund manager is that they can be nimble and take advantage of any opportunities that the Hyperion analysts discover.

Holdings% Portfolio Weight1-Year ReturnForward P/E
Tesla Inc12.2965.9166.67
ServiceNow Inc9.4234.1660.98
Microsoft Corp7.9510.7333.11
Palantir Technologies Inc Ordinary Shares – Class A7.65498.55263.16
ASML Holding NV ADR7.15-20.8128.74
Spotify Technology SA7.1143.2671.43
Amazon.com Inc712.1433.67
Block Inc Class A5.722.8817.73
Meta Platforms Inc Class A4.6141.928.65

Table of the top holdings of HYGG, their portfolio weight, 1-yr return, and forward PE at May 2025.

When it is time to really ‘get on the couch’, Slack Investor would take a look at these blokes to invest his money. This Hyperion crowd seem to know what they are doing.

June 2025 – End of Month Update

The financial year closes and the Australian, UK and US markets are all in positive territory for the financial year.

Slack Investor remains IN for all followed markets. The ASX 200 (+1.3%) and FTSE 100 (-0.1%) moved modestly. It is a continuation of good times in the US with the S&P 500 rising 5.0%. Are our American friends delusional in an expensive US market? Or, is Slack Investor missing something.

All Index pages and charts have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX IndexUK IndexUS Index). The quarterly updates to the Slack Portfolio have also been completed.

Persistence is hard … and March 2023 – End of Month Update

Salvador Dalí, The Persistence of Memory (1931) – MoMA

Dali’s painting “The Persistence of Memory” has been described as a “surrealist meditation on the collapse of our notions of a fixed cosmic order“. Slack Investor is not gifted in the interpretation of artworks but would “have a crack” and say the work was indicating a lack of permanence, or persistency, that we often associate with everyday things. What Dali called “the camembert of time”.

“The sole difference between myself and a madman … is the fact that I am not mad!”

Salvador Dali

Persistence : (Noun) the act of persisting or persevering; continuing or repeating behaviour – vocabulary.com

Persistency is a great investing quality that impresses Slack Investor – but I acknowledge the difficulty. Standard & Poor’s collect data from the US market on how consistently recent top performing share funds are able to keep producing winning records in subsequent years. The following graphic tracks the funds that were in the top 25% of performers in 2018 – and who stayed in the top quartile in successive years.

The percentage of US funds that remain in the top 25% of funds after a 1, 2, 3 and 4 year period – S&P Research – Not many! – Ifa.com

Over a five-year horizon “it was statistically near impossible to find consistent outperformance.”

S&P Research – Ifa.com

Just because a fund, or portfolio, did well in one year does not mean it will continue to perform well the next year. Slack Investor has found this himself with his best performing stocks often becoming the worst performing in the next year – such is the nature of stocks. The stock market often moves between being overvalued and undervalued – and it is the same for individual companies.

Most active (stock picking) funds do not exceed their long-term benchmarks

Not only do active managed funds struggle to maintain consistency, most of them underperform index funds. We are lucky that there are a group of economic boffins that keep an eye on things in the funds department. They are the known as SPIVA (S&P Indices Versus Active). Since 2002, they have been collecting world financial data and comparing actively managed funds to passive (Index) Funds. The 2022 data is now in and the disappointing theme continues. For Australian Equity (Share) funds, for the 5 and 10-yr horizons, respectively, 81.2% and 78.2% of funds underperformed the S&P/ASX 200.

For International equities, the performance of active funds was worse – Over the 5 and 10-year periods, more than 86% and 95% of funds underperformed, respectively.

The percentage of underperforming Australian funds in various categories over a 1-yr, 3-yr, 5-yr, 10-yr and 15-yr period – SPIVA 2022 Report

How to cope with inflation

To keep pace with inflation you must be invested somewhere – so that your investments can grow faster than inflation (cpi) over time (at least 5 years). I will explain in a future article why I prefer shares and ETF’s as the vehicle to do this over other appreciating assets. So, on this path, to be exposed to equities (or stocks) you can either buy

  1. Active managed funds – Roll the dice here as most of these underperform Index funds after fees, but the minority showed some skill over benchmarks over a 5-yr period – but there is no guarantee that they will keep ahead of their benchmarks.
  2. Individual stocks – this is what Slack Investor does – but some experience is helpful here!
  3. Low-Cost Index Exchange Traded Funds (ETF’s) – this is the easiest path, and Stockspot have made the process even simpler by researching the best Index ETF’s in each class.

Exchange Traded Index Funds (ETF’s) for a Portfolio

Stockspot diligently analysed 640 of the largest managed funds available in Australia.

Australian Shares Index ETF

For Australian share exposure, Stockspot recommends the ETF ASX:VAS – as it has outperformed 74.3% of large cap Australian shares managed funds over 5 years with an Indirect Cost Ratio (Management Fee) of 0.1% and an annual return (over 5 years) 0f 9.0%.

From Stockspot

Australian Small Companies Index ETF

Here, Stockspot recommends the ETF ASX: VSO – as it has outperformed 63.5% of small cap Australian shares managed funds over 5 years with an Indirect Cost Ratio (Management Fee) of 0.3% and an annual return (over 5 years) 0f 11.7%

From Stockspot

International Shares Index ETF

For a swing at the world markets, Stockspot recommends the ETF ASX: IOO – as it has outperformed 97.5% of the large cap global managed funds, available in Australia, over 5 years with an Indirect Cost Ratio (Management Fee) of 0.4% and an annual return (over 5 years) 0f 14.2%.

From Stockspot

March 2023 – End of Month Update

After a sparkling January, the calendar year has crawled along in share market gains. But, it’s “dividend season” now – and this cheers Slack Investor up greatly.

Declines this month for the Australian and UK markets (ASX 200 – 1.1%, FTSE 100 -3.1%). Those irrepressible optimists in the US keep powering on, with the S&P 500 up 3.5% – even though this is the most overvalued of Slack-followed markets.

Slack Investor remains IN for the FTSE 100, the ASX 200, and the US Index S&P 500.

All Index pages and charts  have been updated to reflect the monthly changes – (ASX IndexUK IndexUS Index). The quarterly updates to the Slack Portfolio have also been completed

2021 Lets talk about the planet – ESG Sustainable investing

Oooh … this planet is hot!

The difference in mean (average) temperature for the year 2020 and the 30-year average temperature between 1981 and2010 – Sourced from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO)

This is just last year … and the red colours show where planet Earth has been hotter than the long term average temperature. Clearly, for most of the world, 2020 was between 1°C and 5°C warmer than would be expected from the long term average. The reason this is happening is almost certainly due to increases in greenhouse gases since the industrial revolution.

… there’s a more than 95 percent probability that human activities over the past 50 years have warmed our planet.

From climate.nasa.gov based upon the Fifth Assessment Report Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

Another way to visualize the warming is to have a look at the past 110 years in Australia. The last decade was the hottest on record with temperatures almost 1 °C above average and one third of a degree warmer than the previous decade.

110 years of Australian Temperatures with warmer tempearatures represented by the yellow, orange and reds. These maps show the anomaly of mean temperature for each calendar year, compared to the average over the standard reference period of 1961–1990. From the Bureau of Meteorology. The full beauty of this chart can be found in the pdf form of the image.

This is not a political view – but is just science. The world is getting warmer and more and more people and governments think we should do something about it.

The world’s leading climate scientists have warned there is only 10 years for us to act if global warming to be kept to a maximum of 1.5°C. If temperatures go beyond this by even even half a degree, this will significantly worsen the risks of drought, floods, extreme heat and poverty for hundreds of millions of people.

Slack Investor has tried to do his little bit in reducing his CO2 emission- but admittedly, I could do more. In addition to his puny personal efforts, by marshalling the the power of his investments, this might have greater consequences. He is not alone in this thinking.

Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) principles

ESG has become a bit of a buzz acronym in corporate and investing circles and is linked with a set of factors associated with “responsible” or “sustainable” company behaviour. Global Warming (or Climate Change) is just one of these ESG issues – but Climate Change is the highest priority ESG issue facing investors.

Examples of ESG Issues – From Principles for Responsible Investment

To invest according to ESG principles is to undertake to exclude companies in their portfolios considered to be doing harm to the world, and often positively skew their portfolio weightings in favour of companies deemed to be doing good.

From the Sydney Morning Herald

A recent investment development has been the collection of environmental, social, and governance data. There are agencies such as Ethisphere and MCSI that rate publicly listed companies on their resilience to long-term ESG risks. But, most people just select a “Sustainable” or “Ethical” or ESG fund and let the fund manager do the company selecting.

Ethical Investing … its a murky world … but worth it!

While getting into an ethical investing fund or ETF is straightforward. Behind the door of each fund, picking which company gets into the fund sets up all kinds of dilemmas. The company selection process seems to be a bit of a “dark” art and can be done by positive screening (e.g, High ESG scores); or, negative screening with the exclusion of industries such as armaments, tobacco, gambling or thermal coal production. Screening might also be done at the company level, for instance, to exclude a mining company might have a dodgy environmental history. Each fund seems to have a different methodology. We hope that the fund managers get it mostly right. The sustainable/ESG funds that I looked at seemed to be dominated by Technology, Financial and Healthcare companies – these are the type of companies that Slack Investor invests in already. But mining companies should not be dismissed in this sustainable search as they will help enable the transition to the low carbon economy – but they too must rethink many of their practices and decarbonize production and reduce water usage.

… renewables power sources are built from non-renewable materials produced by businesses that tend to have larger carbon footprints and low ESG ratings. Mining firms produce many of the critical materials necessary to transition to a low carbon economy.

From Massif Capital – Failure to Impact (PDF):

For example, Massif Capital cite that to build a 400 kg lithium-Ion battery that might be found in most electric vehicles requires roughly 10 kg of lithium, 12 kg of cobalt, 24 kg of nickel, 36 kg of copper, 44 kg of graphite, and 160 kg of steel, aluminium, and various plastic components.

Sustainable Funds are Taking Off

It is not just the recent extreme weather related events such as the 2019 heat wave in Europe, or the recent fire events in Australia and California. There seems to be a surge in the amount of money coming into sustainable funds as investors are starting to think about climate change and sustainability and how this affects their investments.

sustainable funds estimated quarterly inflows
Quarterly fund inflows into sustainable funds. There has been a fourfold increase in assets that flowed into sustainable funds in the US last year – From Morningstar … A Tipping Point

A move towards sustainable investing can be done through your super fund. Each super fund will have some sort of sustainable option for your superannuation money. Or, you could invest directly through a managed fund or an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF).

If you don’t want to buy individual companies and research how sustainable/ethical each company is, I like the ETF approach and would look at ETF’s like Vanguard Ethically Conscious International Shares Index ETF (VESG) for International ethical exposure. It has a spankingly good low management fee of 0.18%. For local products, I couldn’t go past the SPDR S&P/ASX 200 ESG Fund ETF (E200). This ETF has only been going 5 months and has been doing well. It also has a low management fee of 0.13%

Move towards sustainable – and feel good about yourself – and we might just save this planet.

Cash is not King

From memegenerator

My nephew is a carpenter and he would often gleefully say “Cash is King” when offered a cash job – no paperwork and no tax. This was fine for him as he was on a travel holiday and didn’t want the hassle of being on the books and claiming his tax back at the end of his holiday.

But, to the investor, Cash is not King.

If you hold too much of your wealth in cash, you won’t be able to keep pace with inflation, meaning your purchasing power will go down and it will be more difficult for you to achieve your goals.

Black Swan Capital

Slack Investor cannot argue that money in the bank is not safe, The government guarantees balances up to $250,000.

Cash is important for day to day expenses and your emergency cash buffer, “the cushion” to keep you going for about 2-3 months in an emergency. However, to get on the path to financial independence you must invest in appreciating assets.

Term Deposits, Bonds and Fixed Interest

For a relative, Slack Investor was trying to find a place where cash would earn a decent rate – without too much risk. There is not much around. Most transaction accounts pay no interest or 0.1% interest per year. If you are prepared to lock your money away for a year in a term deposit in a major bank, you might get 0.85%. One of the newer banks, Judo Bank, is offering 1.01%.

There are a few offerings in the bonds and fixed interest area. I ended up in the Vanguard Australian Fixed Interest Index Fund with a management fee of 0.24% and 1 and 3 year returns of 3.2% and 4.7%, respectively. The fund lends money to mostly government authorities – but, unlike term deposits, the returns are not guaranteed. A similar product is offered as an Exchange Traded Fund Vanguard Australian Fixed Interest Index ETF (VAF).

Growth Assets – Shares and Property

Higher up the risk curve are funds based upon share (equity) investments. In these funds or ETF’s the rewards can be higher – but the risks are also much greater. Only invest in shares or share funds with money that you can lock away for 3 to 5 years.

To grow wealth we must have exposure to growth assets such as shares and property.

Shane Oliver, AMP
Asset classes shown on a logarithmic scale for the past 120 years – From “5 charts to help you through COVID-19 investment fear” – Shane Oliver

Australian shares have returned on average 11.5% per year from 1900 to 2020. The incredible value of sustained compounding over long periods is shown by the dollar amounts achieved over 120 years – A $ 1 investment yielded $481, 910 for Australian Shares, $1017 for Bonds and a paltry $242 for cash. But these high returns on investment in Australian shares did not come without risk. Since 1900, Australian shares have had negative returns for two years out of ten.

A similar chart with data to 2016 shows that Australian residential property has a similar trajectory to Australian Shares (11.1% p.a.). There are many hidden costs to owning property – but that is another story. Lower on the risk curve, are Bonds and Cash.

Slack Investor acknowledges that people have different appetites to risk, but if you are in the fortunate position to be sitting on some cash in excess of your emergency fund … the current rates for term deposits encourage a first journey up the risk curve and consider fixed interest funds or ETF’s. For money that you wont need for the next 3-5 years, then shares have the best long term returns. If your time frame is longer, then a well positioned property has been a good investment.

“Twenty years from now you will be more disappointed by the things that you didn’t do than by the ones you did do. So throw off the bowlines. Sail away from the safe harbor. Catch the trade winds in your sails. Explore. Dream. Discover.”

H. Jackson Brown Jr. from Goodreads